Brexit Vote in Britain: The Future of Britain

Writing at Nine PM EST:

The United Kingdom is currently voting to decide if it should leave or stay in the European Union. This is important, but, as I intend to outline here, not as transformative as people might think in the long run. Before I explain further, let me digress for a moment.

I am writing these words before the vote has been fully tallied. So far, approximately a million votes have been counted, and the Leave Campaign has some 15,100 more votes. It is anybody's guess which will win. Reportedly, Nigel Farage, that UKIP stalwart that has been screaming bloody murder at the European Union for years, is pessimistic. Being that I don't know which side will win, I have to write up this post considering both eventualities. I am reminded of a different time, when something similar took place. General Eisenhower, Supreme Allied Commander, and in overall command of Operation Overlord, or D-Day as it is called today, did not know if his planned invasion of Normandy, with the ultimate goal the destruction of Nazi Germany, would succeed. He wrote two letters: one letter was in the event the invasion was successful and a bridgehead was secured, and a second letter in case the attack was defeated. Luckily, for him and everyone else, the invasion was successful, all the beachheads were secured, and the European war was to be over before a year had passed. He never needed to use his second letter.

Eisenhower

At this point it can be reasonably asked if it's fair to compare D-Day with Brexit. How can the threat of Nazism be compared to the threat of meddling bureaucrats in Brussels? There is a long answer to that question, and it involves the understanding of soft tyranny, and how it as malicious and dangerous as hard tyranny, even if it is less recognizable and less painful at first. But that is the subject of a different post. For now, let us simply acknowledge that Western Europe today, as then, is in grave danger. It is deteriorating before our eyes, and it is being overrun by foreign invaders. The European Union is at best dithering about, not addressing the major concerns, and at worst abetting the decline of the West. If Britain were to leave the European Union that would go some distance in arresting the decline.

Let us return to our Eisenhower comparison for a moment. There is little doubt that, had the D-Day invasion of Normandy failed, Naziism would still have been defeated. The overall European situation was favorable to the Allies. This was, after all, June of 1944. Italy was mostly under Allied control, Rome having fallen a couple of days before D-Day. Russia was delivering mighty blows on the Eastern Front. The skies of Europe filled night and day with allied aircraft pummeling the Nazis with a vengeance. The American atom bomb, which had been intended for Europe, was near completion. The actual invasion could have been repeated at a time and place of Allied choosing, what with Allied air and naval superiority. It was just a matter of time before the war was won.

Not so, I think, with Brexit. Conventional wisdom has it that should the vote be to stay in the EU it would forever be sealed as such. I tend to think this to be correct. A vote to stay would be seen as an endorsement of the EU and all it stands for. Heck, it will probably be an endorsement for whatever hairbrained scheme the madmen in Brussels come up with next, be it forming an EU army, or admitting Turkey into the EU.

Even with all that, why then did I write at the beginning of this post that a vote to leave the EU might not at all be transformative. It's because, to a great degree, the damage has been done. Even if the United Kingdom is outside the EU it will not abruptly change its (on the whole) liberal, multicultural outlook. Foreign invaders will continue to flood in--through legal immigration. I don't wish to make precise predictions, and there are various ways to crunch the numbers, but how long before Englishmen become a minority in their own country? Not terribly long. When will the English fighting-aged men become the minority of all fighting-aged men? Sooner still. When will English fighting-aged men become the minority of all fighting-aged, in the major cities? Even sooner still. The future is bleak. (I speak of the English because Britain, the Kingdom, the Empire...it was all about England, as Churchill, correctly in my view, saw it. Which is not to mention the probability, that, should Brexit happen, Scotland will be clamouring for another independence referendum in the hopes of applying separately to the EU)

A miracle can happen and the United Kingdom can decide to put a halt to all immigration. When that happens, we will pop the champagne. Let us be honest though: of course, the future will be less perilous then, but it will still plenty dangerous. But if a halt is placed, we have to re-crunch all the numbers.

Rule Britannia!